It has been nice taking a break away from the sports market and social media. But, it feels GREAT to be back and firing on a game tonight. The Spreadsheet Nerd’s model has been showing some progress and this spot had the largest edge to date on a game this season until the pitching change (write up below was done hours ago). I still expect to see a lot Felix Pena tonight but under the circumstances I have to downgrade this to a normal one unit play. Good luck!!
Angels ML $500 (+104)
There’s always a bit of value when betting against a big name brand team like the Yankees. Especially, when their roster is as banged up as it is right now. They’ve won the first 2 games of this series vs the Angels but the wrong team is favored tonight as I see the home team sneaking out a victory. CC Sabathia is far past his prime. He’s become a finesse pitcher but I see him being a bit more aggressive tonight as he’s only 6 K’s away from 3,000. Placing the ball in the zone a bit more often should benefit an Angels lineup that is very familiar with him. Angels starter, Felix Pena, hasn’t had the best start to the season but he’s gotten very little run support. He’s also faced some of the better hitting teams (Mariners, Athletics, Rangers, and Brewers). Hitters are only batting .206 against him this season and he should be able to hold this Yankees lineup in check. I’d give the edge to the Angels bullpen tonight as well. The Yankees used some of their best bullpen arms last night as they were protecting a lead.
Leave a Reply